About VIG Analytics

Built on One Principle

VIG Analytics was built because the sports-prediction industry is full of services that hide their losing streaks, cherry-pick date ranges, and claim win rates that no statistical model can sustain. We built a public alternative.

Every prediction we publish is timestamped before the first pitch, tipoff, kickoff, or faceoff. Every result is graded against the official score. The track record you see on the homepage is the real one — not a curated highlight reel.

Statistical Picks, Daily

A statistical model trained on historical data generates confidence-probability picks for every game on the schedule. Picks are published publicly each morning. After games end, results are scored automatically against the official outcome and the permanent record is updated and shared in the league calendar.

★ EDGE O/U plays are a high-conviction subset of our totals picks — published only when multiple game-environment signals align. The Edge track record is tracked separately because we believe it represents a meaningful edge over the full set of totals calls.

Understanding Our Confidence Indicators

Confidence % — Moneyline Pick
The model's estimated win probability for the selected team, based on team strength ratings adjusted for roster and matchup variables. Every game runs through the same framework, so percentages are directly comparable across matchups — a 64% means the same thing regardless of which teams are playing.

Confidence % — O/U Pick
The model's estimated probability that the game total lands Over or Under the posted line. These percentages come from a separate projection than the Moneyline numbers and measure a different outcome — they should not be compared against ML percentages directly. Because totals projections are inherently less certain than win/loss calls, O/U numbers naturally cluster in a narrower band.

★ EDGE — Signal Convergence
EDGE is not a confidence percentage. It is an independent check that fires when multiple environmental factors align in the same direction. A game can carry the ★ with a moderate O/U confidence and still be the strongest totals call on the board. The percentage measures the model's directional lean; the ★ means the conditions around the game reinforce that lean.

How We Operate

• Every pick is published before the game starts
• Every result is recorded when the final score is official
• The full track record — including losing streaks — is live on each league's calendar page
• The season calendar is removed two weeks after the playoffs end
• Win rates are never rounded up or cherry-picked by date
• We do not run predictions on pre-season or All-Star games
• We do not accept wagers or provide gambling advice